OG vs. Dignitas, Preview & Prediction - Free 1/25 CS:GO

OG is a massive favorite in this Best of 3 encounter when they take on Dignitas in the Group A opening match of the cs_summit 7 on Monday. Alongside OG and Dignitas, fnatic and Complexity are also playing in this group, so OG must get a win because tougher matchups await them in the coming days.

OG Team Stats and Latest Results

OG returns to the CS:GO tour after an absence of almost 40 days and their latest participation at the BLAST Premier Fall 2020 Finals, where they suffered a couple of defeats to BIG and FURIA. They played very well at the Flashpoint 2 prior to that tournament and even reached the Grand Final, but Virtus.pro proved to be a better side. OG had a 1-0 lead, but Virtus.pro improved in the next two maps and secured a win, so OG settled with 2nd place and $250,000. OG won 11 of the previous 18 matches.

When it comes to the maps in the last three months, OG was decent on Mirage (70.0% win rate), Nuke (66.7%), and Overpass (66.7%), while they were below average only on Inferno (41.7%). OG is playing with the same lineup since October 2020 and appeared on 44 maps with a record of 26 wins and 18 losses. The team members are NBK- (1.02 rating), valde (1.18), Aleksib (1.05), ISSAA (1.00), and mantuu (1.15).

Dignitas Team Stats and Latest Results

Unlike OG, Dignitas played one game in 2021, but it was a loss to Sinners at the Vulkan Fight Series 2020, and they didn’t play a match in the last ten days. The Swedish team closed 2020 with a defeat to Gambit at the MIDNITE Nine to Five 7, while they also played at Flashpoint 2, where OG stopped them. Dignitas ended that tournament in 7th place and earned $15,000. Dignitas lost ten of the last 16 games.

In the previous three months, Dignitas was above average only on Nuke (60.0%), while they disappointed on Inferno (16.7%) and didn’t play well on Train (33.3%) and Overpass (33.3%). Dignitas also assembled its current squad in October last year and appeared on 35 maps with a record of 15 wins and 20 losses. The lineup is made of f0rest (1.02), friberg (0.84), hallzerk (1.08), H4RR3 (0.96), and HEAP (1.02).

OG vs. Dignitas H2H Record

These rivals have met just once before, and OG won that clash 2-0 at the Flashpoint 2 in December 2020.

OG vs. Dignitas Betting Preview

OG has a clear advantage here and the bookies are giving them a huge favorite role. However, considering how they closed the previous year, I wouldn’t back them to cover a -1.5 handicap, while betting on the straight win has no sense given the low odds. I expect to see a lot of rustiness from both sides and multiple lead changes throughout the game. I am backing at least 52 rounds.

The Pick: Over 51.5 total rounds (-200 @GG.BET)